Riscos psicossociais e afastamentos por transtornos mentais no Brasil: série temporal nacional (2012-2024)

Marsileidy Silva; Cláudia Mazzoni

doi:10.1590/SciELOPreprints.15455

##article.authors##

Marsileidy Silva Federal University of Pernambuco https://orcid.org/0009-0007-6825-8453
- Conceptualization
- Data Curation
- Formal Analysis
- Investigation
- Methodology
- Visualization
- Writing – Original Draft Preparation
Cláudia Mazzoni Federal University of Pernambuco https://orcid.org/0009-0004-5487-2856
- Supervision
- Validation
- Writing – Review & Editing

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1590/SciELOPreprints.15455

Keywords:

occupational health, mental disorders, psychosocial factors, social security, time series studies

Abstract

Objective: To analyze the temporal evolution of work-related sickness absence due to mental disorders in Brazil between 2012 and 2024.

Methods: Ecological time-series study using national data from SmartLab. Common (B31), work-related (B91), and total social security benefits were examined. GAMLSS modeling with a negative binomial type II distribution was applied, accounting for overdispersion and nonlinear trends, with model selection based on GAIC. Interpretation was grounded in psychosocial risk frameworks, particularly the demand–control and effort–reward imbalance models. Results: A growing and nonlinear trend in sickness absence was observed over the analyzed period. B31 benefits accounted for 95.5% of the total, while B91 represented 4.5%. For B91, the inclusion of an indicator variable for 2019 suggested a possible structural change in the series.

Conclusion: There was a consistent increase in sickness absence and a discrepancy in the recognition of occupational nexus, reinforcing the need to strengthen surveillance and management of psychosocial factors at work.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Author Biographies

Marsileidy Silva, Federal University of Pernambuco

Marsileidy Siqueira is a Master's student in Ergonomics at the Federal University of Pernambuco (UFPE) and a physiotherapist. She conducts studies in the fields of ergonomics and occupational health, with emphasis on ergonomic risk management in industrial settings. She is a member of the Brazilian Ergonomics Association (ABERGO) and of the ABERGO Technical Committee on Macroergonomics, with experience in public health management.

Cláudia Mazzoni, Federal University of Pernambuco

Cláudia Ferreira Mazzoni is a researcher affiliated with the Graduate Program in Ergonomics at the Federal University of Pernambuco (UFPE), working in the fields of ergonomics and occupational health.