Recife and Belém are currently the only capitals that are already in the saturation phase of Covid-19 in Brazil
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.1590/SciELOPreprints.1001Keywords:
N/AAbstract
In this technical note we analyze the accumulated fatality curves attributed to Covid-19 in the 27 Brazilian state capitals until July 19, 2020. We employed three mathematical growth models to assess at which stage of the epidemic each of these cities is at. These models were implemented in the Modinterv Covid-19 application, developed by the Federal Universities of Paraná, Pernambuco and Sergipe, which can be accessed through the <http://fisica.ufpr.br/modinterv> page. The analysis reveals that only Recife and Belém appear to have reached the saturation phase of the epidemic, when the accumulated fatality curve begins to approach the plateau. Among the other capitals, eight are still in the initial phase of rapid growth and seventeen are in the intermediate phase, when the epidemic curve has already passed through the inflection point but is still relatively far from the plateau.
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Copyright (c) 2020 Gerson C. Duarte-Filho , Arthur A. Brum , Raydonal Ospina, Francisco A. G. Almeida, Antônio M. S. Macêdo, Giovani L. Vasconcelos

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.