Preprint / Version 1

Temporal trend of notifications of work-related mental disorders and changes associated with the COVID-19 pandemic: an ecological time-series study in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil

##article.authors##

  • Paulo Roberto Balbino SECRETARIA DE ESTADO DA SAÚDE - GEA: Macapá, AP, BR https://orcid.org/0009-0002-0103-5507
    • Conceptualization
    • Data Curation
    • Formal Analysis
    • Investigation
    • Visualization
    • Project Administration
    • Writing – Review & Editing
  • Bruno Gonçalves Balbino University of Brasília image/svg+xml https://orcid.org/0009-0009-2891-0421
    • Data Curation
    • Formal Analysis
    • Visualization
    • Writing – Original Draft Preparation
  • George Harrison Ferreira de Carvalho Faculdade de Brasília (FBr) https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7377-9284
    • Data Curation
    • Conceptualization
    • Formal Analysis
    • Investigation
    • Methodology
    • Software
    • Validation
    • Writing – Original Draft Preparation
    • Writing – Review & Editing

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1590/SciELOPreprints.17000

Keywords:

Mental Disorders, Occupational Health, Health Surveillance, Notifiable Diseases Information System, Time Series Studies

Abstract

Objective: To analyze the temporal trend of notifications of work-related mental disorders recorded in the Brazilian Notifiable Diseases Information System (SINAN) in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil, between 2007 and 2023 and to assess changes associated with the COVID-19 pandemic.

Methods: Ecological time-series study using secondary data from SINAN. Temporal trends were estimated using negative binomial regression with calculation of the Annual Percent Change (APC). Changes associated with the pandemic were assessed using interrupted time series analysis, considering 2020 as the interruption point. Statistical significance was set at 5%.

Results: A total of 745 notifications were recorded between 2007 and 2023. A significant increasing trend was observed (APC = +19.8% per year; 95%CI: +12.3% to +27.8%; p<0.001). Notifications showed an immediate and significant decline in 2020 (β = -1.320; p=0.014), followed by a gradual recovery, with no statistically significant change in the post-pandemic trend.

Conclusions: Notifications of work-related mental disorders increased during the study period. These findings reinforce the importance of strengthening Workers' Health Surveillance and improving health information systems to support evidence-based public policies aimed at preventing work-related mental disorders.

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Author Biographies

Paulo Roberto Balbino, SECRETARIA DE ESTADO DA SAÚDE - GEA: Macapá, AP, BR

Paulo Roberto Balbino, é um dos vanguardista do ramo de saúde ocupacional na cidade de Macapá -AP e essa trajetória já conta com 25 anos de serviços ininterruptos. Foi, também, Diretor do Hospital de Emergência Osvaldo Cruz vinculado a  SECREATARIA DE ESTADO DA SAÚDE - GEA: Macapá, AP, BR

Bruno Gonçalves Balbino, University of Brasília

Acadêmico do curso de biologia da Universidade de Brasília (UnB).

George Harrison Ferreira de Carvalho, Faculdade de Brasília (FBr)

George Harrison Ferreira de Carvalho é Doutor em Ciências Médicas pela Universidade de Brasília (UnB), Mestre em Medicina Tropical pela Universidade Federal de Goiás (UFG), enfermeiro e biólogo. Atua como pesquisador interdisciplinar nas áreas de Saúde Coletiva, Epidemiologia, Vigilância em Saúde, Ciências Biológicas e Enfermagem, com experiência em métodos quantitativos, análise de séries temporais e pesquisa em saúde pública. É docente universitário e autor de publicações científicas nacionais e internacionais.

Submitted

07/20/2026

Posted

07/27/2026

How to Cite

Temporal trend of notifications of work-related mental disorders and changes associated with the COVID-19 pandemic: an ecological time-series study in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil. (2026). In SciELO Preprints. https://doi.org/10.1590/SciELOPreprints.17000

Section

Health Sciences

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