Preprint / Version 1

The evaluation of behavior of the pandemic covid-19 and the prognosis of its evolution

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Giordano Rodríguez Rodriguez Professors of the department of Economy, School of Economic Sciences, University of Camagüey, Cuba
Nestor Miguel Álvarez Álvarez Centro de Estudio de Dirección y Desarrollo Empresarial y Territorial, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Universidad de Camagüey, Cuba
Magaly Almeida Borges Departamento de Economía, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Universidad de Camagüey, Cuba
Rafael F. Ramírez Varona Universidad de Camaguey https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9770-2660

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1590/SciELOPreprints.1367

Keywords:

Daily increment of sick person, Standard increment, New lethality, Covid-19, Indicator of salute

Abstract

Objective: To propose indicator and procedures to evaluate and predict the behavior of the pandemic covid-19.

Methods and techniques: Researching of information about the behavior of the pandemic covid-19 in the different sceneries and the application of mathematic and statistics methods.

Main results: Indicators and procedure that contribute to evaluate the pandemic covid-19 situation and to make prognosis in relation to the increment, sick persons and death for the decision making.

Conclusions: The proposed indicators and procedures contribute to evaluate the behavior of the pandemic covid-19 and to predict in a short and meddle terms it’s behavior for the sanitary and governmental decision making.

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Author Biography

Giordano Rodríguez Rodriguez, Professors of the department of Economy, School of Economic Sciences, University of Camagüey, Cuba

Professors of the department of Economy, School of Economic Sciences, University of Camagüey, Cuba.

PDF (Spanish)

Posted

10/29/2020

How to Cite

The evaluation of behavior of the pandemic covid-19 and the prognosis of its evolution. (2020). In SciELO Preprints. https://doi.org/10.1590/SciELOPreprints.1367