MAPA DA VIOLÊNCIA NO TOCANTINS: UMA ANÁLISE RELACIONAL DA CRIMINALIDADE VIOLENTA (2018–2024)

Leonardo de Andrade Carneiro; Nilton Marques de Oliveira

doi:10.1590/SciELOPreprints.12721

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Leonardo de Andrade Carneiro Federal University of Tocantins https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2388-7516
Nilton Marques de Oliveira Federal University of Tocantins

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1590/SciELOPreprints.12721

Keywords:

Urban development, Violent criminality, Citizen security, Socioeconomic factors, Territorial inequality

Abstract

This article analyzes the relational space of violent criminality in Tocantins (2018-2024), using socioeconomic and institutional variables to project violence patterns, based on Carneiro's (2024) concept. Through Principal Components Analysis, two axes were identified: the first associates lethal violence with social exclusion (low education, unemployment, teenage pregnancy and high household density); the second shows that repressive actions, access to education and public policies reduce violent deaths, although crimes such as robbery persist. Higher per capita income and education levels positively impacted violence reduction. The findings indicate that reducing criminality in Tocantins is linked to integrated policies combining repression with socioeconomic and educational inclusion. The results reinforce criminality as a relational phenomenon shaped by multiple social factors.