Preprint / Version 1

Pediatric hospital demand in COVID-19 times in Perú

##article.authors##

  • Emiliana Rizo-Patron Instituto Nacional de Salud del Niño San Borja. Lima, Perú https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2555-3774
  • Justo Padilla Instituto Nacional de Salud del Niño San Borja. Lima, Perú; Sociedad Latinoamericana de Investigación Pediátrica. Lima, Perú
  • Jose A. Tantalean Instituto Nacional de Salud del Niño San Borja. Lima, Perú; Universidad Nacional Federico Villarreal. Lima, Perú https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7143-4792

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1590/SciELOPreprints.211

Keywords:

COVID-19, SARS-Cov-2, critical care, pandemic

Abstract

COVID-19 pandemic in Perú is causing strain on critical care and hospital resources across the nation. As the infection progress into the population we expect a surge in severe cases and on the intensive care unit (ICU) demand. As the peak of the COVID-19 outbreak approaches, the capacity for hospital and ICU beds will probably be exceeded. Despite the low severity of COVID-19 in children, we expect that the projected number of pediatric cases could overwhelm the available pediatric capacity as the outbreak progress in our country. Under a 25% cumulative infection rate scenario, there would be approximately 891 critically ill children requiring ICU admission. We propose several strategies to handle the concerns about shortfalls in our ability to provide pediatric ventilation and critical care support during the epidemic in Perú.

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Posted

2020-05-05

Section

Health Sciences